A regional election was held in Castile and León on 28 May 1995 to elect the 4th of the autonomous community. All 84 seats in the were up for election. It was held concurrently with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all across Spain.
Overview Under the 1983 Statute of Autonomy, the Cortes of Castile and León was the unicameral legislature of the homonymous autonomous community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to grant or withdraw confidence from a regional president.. The electoral and procedural rules were supplemented by national law provisions..
Date The term of the of Castile and León expired four years after the date of its previous ordinary election, with election day being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The election decree was required to be issued no later than 25 days before the scheduled expiration date of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Castile and León (BOCYL).; ( by ). The previous election was held on 26 May 1991, setting the date for election day on the fourth Sunday of May four years later, which was 28 May 1995.
The of Castile and León could not be dissolved before the expiration date of parliament, except in the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot. In such a case—provided this did not happen during the last year of parliament before its planned expiration—the were to be automatically dissolved and a snap election called, with elected lawmakers serving the remainder of its original four-year term..
The election to the of Castile and León was officially called on 4 April 1995 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOCYL, setting election day for 28 May and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 21 June..
Electoral system Voting for the was based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Castile and León and with full political rights, provided that they had not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence, nor were legally incapacitated.; ( by ).
The of Castile and León had three seats per each multi-member constituency—corresponding to the provinces of Ávila, Burgos, León, Palencia, Salamanca, Segovia, Soria, Valladolid and Zamora—plus one additional seat per 45,000 inhabitants or fraction above 22,500. All were elected using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a three percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) in each constituency.; . The use of this electoral method resulted in a higher effective threshold depending on district magnitude and vote distribution.
As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each constituency was entitled the following seats:.
Seats Constituencies 15 León 14 Valladolid 11 Burgos, Salamanca 8 Zamora 7 Ávila, Palencia 6 Segovia 5 Soria
The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term were filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes. ( by ).
Outgoing parliament The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of the election call.
+ Parliamentary composition in April 1995 Groups Parties Legislators Seats Total People's Parliamentary Group PP 45 45 Socialist Parliamentary Group PSOE 34 34 Democratic and Social Centre's Parliamentary Group CDS 3 3 Mixed Parliamentary Group IU 1 2 INDEP 1
Parties and candidates The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within 10 days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list. ( by ).
Below is a list of the main parties and alliances which contested the election:
Candidacy Parties andalliances Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Vote % Seats PP Juan José Lucas ConservatismChristian democracy 43.5% PSOE Jesús Quijano Social democracy 36.4% IU Antonio Herreros SocialismCommunism 5.4% UPL Conchi Farto LeonesismRegionalismAutonomism 0.8%
Campaign
Debates + 1995 Castilian-Leonese regional election debates Date Organizer(s) Moderator(s) PP PSOE IU Audience 17 May Club de OpiniónLibertad y Progreso Jesús Fonseca —
Opinion polls The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
Voting intention estimates The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 43 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Castile and León.
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout UPL Lead 1995 regional election 28 May 1995 73.5 52.2 29.7 – 9.6 2.6 22.5 Eco Consulting/RTVE 28 May 1995?? 51.9 28.6 – 10.5? 23.3 Vox Pública–ODEC/Antena 3 28 May 1995???? – – –? Demoscopia/El País 10–15 May 1995 1,600? 54.0 27.1 2.1 10.9 – 26.9 CIS 26 Apr–11 May 1995 3,001 64.8 57.6 28.2 1.3 9.2 – 29.4 1994 EP election 12 Jun 1994 62.0 53.7 28.8 1.8 11.0 – 24.9 Sigma Dos/Ical 15 Dec 1993?? 51.8 32.1 1.5 10.1 – 19.7 1993 general election 6 Jun 1993 78.3 47.4 36.7 4.1 7.7 0.8 10.7 1991 regional election 26 May 1991 67.6 43.5 36.4 8.1 5.4 0.8 7.1
Voting preferences The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size UPL Lead 1995 regional election 28 May 1995 37.9 21.4 – 7.0 1.9 25.6 16.5 CIS 26 Apr–11 May 1995 3,001 40.7 19.9 0.3 6.0 – 23.5 6.2 20.8 CIS 2–17 Mar 1995 2,997 35.6 16.1 1.0 7.7 – 28.2 7.5 19.5 1994 EP election 12 Jun 1994 33.6 17.9 1.1 6.9 – 37.4 15.7 1993 general election 6 Jun 1993 37.1 28.6 3.2 6.0 0.6 21.0 8.5 CIS 12–30 Nov 1992 4,536 21.8 21.1 2.7 4.3 – 38.6 10.1 0.7 1991 regional election 26 May 1991 29.1 24.3 5.5 3.6 0.6 31.9 4.8
Victory preferences The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Other/None Lead CIS 26 Apr–11 May 1995 3,001 44.2 23.6 0.7 31.4 20.6 CIS 2–17 Mar 1995 2,997 43.8 23.1 0.1 32.9 20.7
Victory likelihood The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Other/None Lead CIS 26 Apr–11 May 1995 3,001 62.2 8.4 – 31.9 53.8 CIS 2–17 Mar 1995 2,997 63.4 7.0 – 29.6 56.4
Preferred President The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Regional Government of Castile and León.
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Other/None/Notcare Lead CIS 26 Apr–11 May 1995 3,001 41.6 18.4 3.4 36.5 23.2 CIS 2–17 Mar 1995 2,997 42.1 15.7 5.1 37.1 26.4
Results Overall + ← Summary of the 28 May 1995 Cortes of Castile and León election results → Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats Votes % ±pp Total +/− People's Party (PP) 805,553 52.20 +8.69 50 +7 Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 458,447 29.71 −6.73 27 −8 United Left of Castile and León (IU) 147,777 9.58 +4.22 5 +4 Leonese People's Union (UPL) 39,425 2.55 +1.72 2 +2 Commoners' Land–Castilian Nationalist Party (TC–PNC) 9,494 0.62 +0.48 0 ±0 Independent Solution (SI) 9,107 0.59 New 0 ±0 Independent Group of Ávila (AIAV) 8,159 0.53 New 0 ±0 Party of El Bierzo (PB) 6,646 0.43 +0.11 0 ±0 Regionalist Unity of Castile and León (URCL)1 6,318 0.41 −0.03 0 ±0 Platform of Independents of Spain (PIE) 4,630 0.30 New 0 ±0 People's Palentine Group (APP) 4,071 0.26 New 0 ±0 Regionalist Party of the Leonese Country (PREPAL) 3,744 0.24 +0.09 0 ±0 Independents for León (IPL) 3,290 0.21 New 0 ±0 Independent Candidacy of Valladolid (CIV) 2,148 0.14 New 0 ±0 The Greens–Green Group (LV–GV) 1,423 0.09 New 0 ±0 The Alternative Greens (LVA) 1,374 0.09 New 0 ±0 Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS) 1,102 0.07 +0.01 0 ±0 Provincialist Party of El Bierzo (PPB) 909 0.06 New 0 ±0 Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) 746 0.05 −0.01 0 ±0 Sorian Progressive Union (US) 417 0.03 New 0 ±0 Democratic and Social Centre (CDS) n/a n/a −8.14 0 −5 Blank ballots 28,284 1.83 +0.17 Total 1,543,064 84 ±0 Valid votes 1,543,064 99.11 +0.04 Invalid votes 13,911 0.89 −0.04 Votes cast / turnout 1,556,975 73.46 +5.89 Abstentions 562,523 26.54 −5.89 Registered voters 2,119,498 Sources
Distribution by constituency Constituency PP PSOE IU UPL % S % S % S % S Ávila 58.4 5 23.8 2 8.2 − Burgos 52.8 7 24.9 3 12.7 1 León 45.1 7 30.4 5 6.7 1 12.7 2 Palencia 52.3 4 31.9 3 8.4 − Salamanca 54.3 6 32.9 4 8.3 1 Segovia 56.7 4 26.5 2 10.5 − Soria 59.2 4 28.3 1 8.2 − Valladolid 51.1 8 30.7 4 13.6 2 Zamora 55.7 5 33.9 3 6.6 − Total 52.2 50 29.7 27 9.6 5 2.6 2 Sources
Aftermath Government formation Investiture Ballot → 4 July 1995 Required majority → 43 out of 84 Abstentions Sources
Notes
References Opinion poll sources
Other
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